From ESPN to Retail Stores. A preview of what to expect in automation unemployment over the next few years. A LEAD Global Briefing from Futurist Chet W. Sisk
Did you know that ESPN Sports Center is a top rated sports show? Yet, they are laying off hundreds of employees. Why? It's cheaper and more efficient to put everything on a digital platform.
The worldwide news giant, Associated Press, now has robots writing the stories you're reading, eliminating thousands of jobs for "stringers".
Verizon just lost subscribers for the first time in years. Why? The technology emerging is outstripping their business model. People can make calls through What'sApp and other tools.
From travel agents to retail store employees to the automobile industry, the "great technological leap forward" is in motion. Artificial Intelligence has taken a dramatic step in it's ability to think, making it more cost effective for employers to get a non-complaining, no vacation, faster more efficient robot to do the work. We here at LEAD Global have been talking about this for a number of years. What makes 2017 a watershed year is the speed of the implementation of the technology throughout industries. Here are five more industries that will see levels of disruption over the next year or so....
The Automobile Industry. --- Autonomous cars will put more people on notice because they will be visible examples of the change. At this writing, 5 million jobs are at risk by 2020-2021 because of the rippling effect these trucks and cars will have on employment.
Financial Services --- More and more people are getting their financial services online. Yes, there will probably always be the woman you can call to get some insight and advice, but the legions of advisers that used to represent a company are dissappearing.
Telecommunications --- If you're a Verizon customer, don't be surprised to see them do more outreach to you through more offers and cheaper rates. All of the tele industries will have to do that, just to keep up. They won't be able to, which will produce industry-wide layoffs.
Retail --- As we mentioned in the last briefing, the retail world will continue to transition. No one quite knows what the end model will look like. It could be in perpetual movement for years into the future as long as technology continues to evolve. One this is clear...there will be job loss.
Education --- Projections show the e-learning market worldwide is forecast to surpass $243 billion U.S.Technology and e-learning are used to personalize education while making it more accessible and affordable for students. You don't need as many people to provide this if students can get it themselves online.
These changes don't mean some new jobs won't be created. It just means the traditional models that we've created the current economy on are transforming and challenging the very concept of mass employment for the society. This also means the opportunity to create a new direction for society and the world is also right at our fingertips. I wrote a book about these changes so that we understood this shift is not just a technical one, but one that pushing a change in how we see humanity. Here is the introduction of that book...Above and Beyond All That We Know: How to thrive and succeed in the current word paradigm shift.
Like to see the rest? We'll provide you with the complete audio book, free, for all LEAD Global members. Write to Kimberly@leadtheshift.com and ask for the book.
What's the deal with the Retail Mall Apocalypse? What's next? What are the opportunities in this? LEAD Global Briefing from Futurist Chet W. Sisk.
I heard some industry "insiders" say that the mass closing of retail stores around the US is merely a market correcting itself from over supply. In an ordinary economic cycle (whatever that is) you may be able to make that argument stick. Let me share with you what the longer term trends say. And like all things during the Fourth Industrial Revolution/World Shift, there are amazing opportunities right in the middle of this to create something new, abundant and empowering.
We have video classes to help you thrive and succeed in this unique time of change. We provide you with an online interface that allows you to ask us questions at your convenience. We also provide you with free participation in our Universal Basic Income pilot. Click here to register...
Five potential "black swans" that could change the immediate future. A LEAD Global briefing from Futurist Chet W. Sisk
A few years ago, Nassim Nicholas Taleb wrote a book called The Black Swan. It was basically a book about how unforeseen events and circumstances can change the trajectory of a society or of the world. These unforeseen circumstances are called "black swans" because they are unexpected. As a futurist, my job is to look for these events so that I can make projections of how your life will be impacted by these developments.
Based on the collective data to date, here are factors developing in many countries:
1. There is an ongoing concentration of wealth in the hands of a few people..
2. There will be massive job loss around the world due to technological advances.
3. Climate change is negatively affecting the environment.
4. Human rights are being challenged.
By most people's standards, these are not good developments. These are trends. Trends are collective decisions. And like most decisions, we can change our minds, including how we react to climate change. Here are five black swans that I believe could change the current world trajectory.
A major weather/climate catastrophe. This one is a fairly easy call because of the obvious effects of climate change that have become more pronounced over the last few years. If it does happen, it could be the wake-up call to force governments to become more pro-active. The chance that this challenge could manifest over the next few years: 50% http://listverse.com/2015/05/25/10-major-natural-disasters-predicted-in-the-near-future/
The discovery of a planet that can sustain human life or already has life. Not to long ago, "experts" told us that it would be a fantastic stroke of luck that we'd discover life outside of the earth. Now it seems every week scientists discover a new planet that can sustain life as we know it. This could change everything we know and understand about our existence and change the way we treat each other and the planet. The chance that we could make this discovery in the next few years: 10%
A major political meltdown in the United States. What happens in the US directly affects the rest of the world, so recent develops are deeply concerning. Not since the Business Plot of 1932 has there been this much anxiety on the direction of this country. This happening could push newer forms of government to the fore. The chance that we could experience a meltdown in the US over the next few years...20%
A collective action around the world that would signal a new direction. Yes, there is a global consciousness shift happening in the world. It appears that the events of late are pushing this movement along. The shift isn't hyperbole or great story telling. Something is happening. Bad governance, climate change and wealth inequality are the primary drivers. The chance that we could experience this change in the next few years...30% http://www.davidsuzuki.org/blogs/science-matters/2015/07/is-the-climate-crisis-creating-a-global-con...
A world economic collapse. Every financial "guru" this side of the Mississippi has been predicting a financial collapse for years. Unfortunately, fear sells. I say ignore these "merchants of mayhem" and check in with your intuition. What do you see is happening around you? Recently, there have been a number of articles about the rich and well to do building doomsday bunkers. Consider this an intuitive tip. Should something happen, other economic systems are waiting in the wing. The chances of this occurring over the next few years...30%
LEAD Global Community
A colleague of mine in Nepal has a great portable recycling machine for Katmandu. If you're interested in providing suggestions on how he can turn this into a money-making social venture and maybe even partner with him, write us at firstname.lastname@example.org, then write "Nepal" in the subject line.
There is a writer in Miami, FL who wants to talk to anyone who has had to go through the US criminal justice system. This is a prelude to his book on restorative justice. There is some compensation for those of you who share your story. Write us back at email@example.com and put in "restorative" in the subject line.
There is a empowerment coach in Mexico City, Mexico who would like to help you manage through this time of historic change. She can do it through Skype. You can find out more about her and her project by writing us at firstname.lastname@example.org and put in "empowerment" in the subject line.
The first Universal Basic Income meeting.
We are finally at a place to do our first meeting of the Universal Basic Income participants in the Denver, US area. It will be May 6th at 1:00pm. We'll provide the location in the next week. If you know of anyone else who would like to participate, we are still in need of 12 more people (much to the chagrin of our potential sponsor). Please let others know we need them.
Garbage in, garbage out. Racism in the Fourth Industrial Revolution/World Shift. A LEAD Global Briefing by Futurist Chet W. Sisk.
The great challenge that exists inside the Fourth Industrial Revolution/World Shift is to make sure it is not an extension of the old world. The old world for the past few centuries has been a basic clinic in the application of racism and other biases. The basic promise of the Fourth Industrial Revolution/ World Shift is that the continually emerging technology and expanded thinking of possibilities presents an opportunity to create a more egalitarian, shared and abundant world. That knife with the technology cuts both ways. It can also create these challenges....
AI is reflecting the biases and racism that we program into it...https://thenextweb.com/artificial-intelligence/2017/03/22/artificial-intelligence-is-quickly-becomin...
The economic inequality could greatly increase in the coming few years because of automation. That will disproportionately affect communities of color and other vulnerable populations....https://thewire.in/109662/inequality-technology-robotic-age/
As we continue to rely on the internet for our lives ahead, we'll have to deal with the racism baked in....http://www.businessinsider.com/internet-racism-2012-5
What can be done?
Here are some suggestions that can help.
1. Developer and programmer teams must be more than diverse in skin color, but diverse in culture, socioeconomic backgrounds and experiences. Different experiences allows teams to look through different lens that can provide a more diverse perspective. Uniform groups has the tendency to breed conformity of ideas and stereotypes.
2. The Fourth Industrial Revolution should stimulate the growth of society. I'm not talking about growth in the traditional economic sense, but growth through the development of the people. Training, volunteering, the arts and empowerment classes should now be part of the way forward. This means all members of a society are gifted with a sense of agency in the world.
3. Champion innovation with people from un-traditional backgrounds. Partnerships that cross cultural, geographic, and political lines to leverage the broadest possible solution to the transformation of society. Our world is more connected now than at any known time in human history. Our wisdom and leadership should reflect that 21st century truth.
4. Purpose to leverage technology to cross the digital divide. I have worked with companies whose first questions were "how do we weaponize this new technology" or "how can we make money from it?". We may want to start advancing the conversation by asking "how do we help create an environment where more people can be empowered?" Starting with that question could help us cross the digital divide and a more prosperous population.
We can get in front of the dangers of this time of change, but it will take an intention on our part.
LEAD GLOBAL COMMUNITY
Current Chicago Mayor Rohm Emmauel in the United States made a statement a few years ago that lives on in the memories of many. He said:
"Never let a good crisis go to waste".
While some would interpret his statement in a cryptic way, there is sunlight in these words as well. Crisis is often deemed negative, but I would submit that crisis also means opportunity.
There are many crises happening around the world: the leadership challenge in the United States, the economic implosion in Brazil, the war in Syria and it's humanitarian toll, the global warming developments around the world, etc. While these developments are indeed crises, they present all of us with an opportunity to rethink our next steps. We at LEAD Global have been proponents of the idea that this current nexus of crises, advancing technology and human awareness is unique in the history of the world. There is an opportunity to do something different, brave and profound so that we can actually create the environment we want. This may sound like hyperbole, but history has shown us that fortune favors the bold. If we see the current world situation as unsustainable, there are now technologies that exist that could help create something else. The tools are there. It's now time for the vision. Here are some bold developments some are taking....
The growing alternative to the current unsustainable farming model in the world includes LED, Vertical and Aquaphonic farming that can be set up pretty much anywhere. Even more, these new farms can use 95% less water and NO pesticides. . https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_tvJtUHnmU
What would happen if we transformed the failing malls around the country into these farms?
3D PRINTED AFFORDABLE HOMES
Affordable housing is a challenge around the world. There are so many fixes to this challenge that are springing up because of the current technology that they are too numerous to mention in this report. I will provide an example of a Russian company that is mastering 3D Printed homes. Click this link...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GUdnrtnjT5Q
What could happen if communities banded together to employ a company like this to build these homes?
THE CONTINUED GROWTH OF SOCIAL ENTERPRISE
I am one to believe that Social Enterprise/Entrepreneurship is transforming. My prediction is that we'll start to see more models that incorporate collective-based and free market elements at the same time. Nevertheless, the idea of business being created for the greater good is extremely popular around the world......https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ecKK3S8DOE
In a sense, all businesses should be Social Enterprise. If the base they make money from falters, they will be out of business. Thus, the business community could actually lead in the development of a transformed society.
THE TECHNOLOGY LEAP OF EMERGING COUNTRIES
Because mobility is the key to modern technology, emerging countries simply don't have the infrastructure and bureaucratic hurdles to go through. This gives them a technological implementation advantage. This interesting development happening in Kenya is a perfect example....http://afritorial.com/m-pepea/
It may be prudent to create partnerships with friends in emerging countries to develop mobile technology and mobile technology systems.
THE GROWTH OF THE RESTORATIVE JUSTICE MOVEMENT
Punitive Justice Systems have come under fire because, as they are designed, they are inequitable. Models of Restorative Justice Systems are springing up around the world. Even more, the numbers show that punitive justice systems are simply not cost effective to taxpayers, but an economic boon for private prison corporations. Here is some information that speaks of the difference between the two systems...http://www.cscsb.org/restorative_justice/retribution_vs_restoration.html
What could a Restorative Justice System do for the collective healing of a society? What could it do for cost effectiveness?
THE LEAD GLOBAL UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME PILOT
We are very excited about developing our Universal Basic Income Pilot with our Integrity Partners who are joining us. For those of you who have signed up to participate, you will be provided with information on our first meeting in the Denver area to answer your questions. There are no other requirements or risks you need to take to participate in this pilot, other than being a registered member of LEAD Global Source. We are still accepting members until April 8th (Saturday). If you'd still like to participate, write me directly at email@example.com or register directly at http://www.leadtheshift.com/sign-up-for-lead-global-sourcethe-150-campaign.html
LEAD Global Community -- If you'd like to share your business or venture or service with hundreds of like minds around the world, send us your information to Kimberly at firstname.lastname@example.org. It's free to all registered LEAD Global Source members.
There is an organization that is specializing in making sure you develop personal tools to transition through the Fourth Industrial Revolution. They can work with you in person or online. Find out more about them by writing to email@example.com. Write "Personal Tools" in the subject line.
There is a young man in London who is seeking a financial manger for his business. You must be expert in crypto-currency (Bitcoine, Litecoin, etc.) Write us back at firstname.lastname@example.org and put crypto-currency in the subject.
There is a life coach based in Denver who specializes in Future Shock anxiety. She can assist via Skype, email or telephone. Write us back at email@example.com and put Future Shock in the subject line.
There is a business group in Iowa that seeks investors in a aquaphonic farming system. Find out more about them and the get their prospectus by writing us at firstname.lastname@example.org and put in farming in the subject line.
Solar, and the shake up of our entire petroleum-based system. A LEAD Global Briefing from Futurist Chet W. Sisk
Almost everything in our current world is based around a petroleum energy-based infrastructure. You can imagine that when more and more reports keep coming in on the technological efficiency of solar panels, a lot of people get concerned. And rightfully so. Our dependence on petroleum has made most Western countries borders on addiction to this energy source. This too will add to some of the uncertainty of the next few years. But while we're looking at the uncertainty, we should also look at the great promise this development provides. Here are some reports to consider.
Cheap solar energy is on the rise...https://www.theglobalist.com/rise-cheap-solar-energy/
With massive job loss due to automation, where will the jobs be? Solar ...http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/01/solar-jobs-economy
The current administration in the US is expanding the petroleum industry, yet solar energy is where the growth is....https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-08/solar-is-the-fastest-growing-energy-says-top-foss...
Even some of the Middle East petroleum energy giants have read the writing on the wall....http://www.uaeinteract.com/docs/Dubai_harvests_abundance_of_solar_energy/66642.htm
As you plan out your future in the face of a seismic shift in everything, consider solar energy as an investment, possible career opportunity or home design. The shift is happening.
LEAD Global Universal Basic Income Pilot
We are still seeking to quantify numbers for a privately-funded Universal Basic Income pilot. Our deadline was last week, but we're still short. This pilot is only open to registered LEAD Global members. It will take some time to ramp up, but we need to quantify numbers now. If you're interested, let me know ASAP by writing me directly email@example.com . Watch the video below.
Promote your work, job search, or business to our partners around the world.
Since we're sending this briefing out all around the world, we thought we'd make it a place for you to promote your work, find a job, make contacts, create partnerships, etc. with people of like mind. LEAD Global is in partnership with the International Institute of Inspiration Economy and The Nepal Music Festival organization. I proposed that we start helping you connect with them. So, starting next week, we'll list your promotion in the briefing. It will be a couple of sentences, but we thought this would be a great way to help great people navigate the Fourth Industrial Revolution/World Shift. It's free to all registered LEAD Global members. Watch this video....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5hTD72x5CM
Meditation is the key
I admit, I am a meditation person, so I understand the value of the practice and tend to be an advocate. In a time of change, staying grounded will be crucial. I highly recommend meditation to help you sort through your next life move in light of the coming changes. To that end, we're going to provide meditation videos in the classroom section of LEAD Global Source. If you haven't gone into the classroom section, may I suggest you watch the tutorial video at the bottom of this linked page.http://www.leadtheshift.com/lead-global-source.html You'll find a sample of a custom made video for one of our clients. If you'd like one for you, let me know. It's free to registered LEAD Global members.
Finally, I've shared this video before, I want to share it again, touting the power and effectiveness of meditation.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5zHuWUwc4RU
Chet W. Sisk is an author and one of the world's leading Social Futurists. He is also expert on the current world paradigm shift. Find out more about him and the LEAD Global Team at www.leadtheshift.com or you can write him directly at firstname.lastname@example.org