My seven big predictions for 2020. (spoiler alert) I won't have your winning lottery numbers. A briefing from Futurist Chet W. Sisk
Despite the common misconception, Futurists are not people who read into crystal balls. On the contrary....we do the most unglamorous job in the world. We're trend analysts. Many of us are former print and tv journalists. We sit around and read trends that affect business and society. But, as you may know....numbers and data are incomplete. They provide the canvass to paint on, but talking to the people and using our intuition is what provides the painting. Because the world is a very dynamic place, we sometimes miss our predictions about the future. But that "misses" the point (pun intended). Being a Futurist is more about providing a snapshot of how things are looking and where they may or may not go. As I always say, trends are collective decisions we've made. Because they are decisions, we can change our minds. That being said, I'm going to go out on the limb and predict some decisions we have made so far and how they'll show up this year. People like when you predict stuff. It's sexy and it helps hold my feet to the fire. Here are my top 7 predictions for 2020.
1. There will be some major political policy breakthrough in climate crisis. One or a group of countries are going to take some evolutionary steps to lead the world in climate crisis management. Their effort will affect the rest of the planet's nation-states.
2. Deep fakes are going to challenge the voting system and the heart of Democracy in the United States. A number of bad actors around the world will be utilizing the newest technology to send "deep fakes" through social media in the US. Deep fakes are manipulated videos that show a person doing something or saying something they really did not. With a large low information voting population, this is particularly dangerous.
3. The Stem Crisis (along with the population bust) is going to create radical immigration reform this year This is entirely dependent upon who will be elected as president in the US. If it will be a Democrat, you'll see a bill being prepared before the year is out that will both fund native STEM training as well as reform immigration so that more STEM candidates from Nigeria, India and China come to the States. For those of you who don't know, the US is falling behind STEM (science, technology, engineering and math) training in our schools. We have fewer students because of the population bust and few qualified students to handle the subjects.
4. Eco-shaming will rise to the top of social activism. If your company is not doing it's share to help the world manage climate crisis, you will be outed soon, probably this year. Activist groups are putting together lists of companies to avoid because of their lack of climate crisis commitment.
5. Africa and the African Diaspora will start to form a meaningful and strategic bond. The success of Ghana's "Year of Return" campaign has tapped into the making of a global social and economic powerhouse. It will be bumpy at first, but the groundwork has been laid for a mutually beneficial agreement.
6. There will be several climate crisis related disasters throughout the world, which will galvanize more global action. Work is already taking place in cities across the US and around the world. The crises will only confirm that we've got to move faster.
7. A new and unique optimism will emerge. This may seem like a difficult one to digest, but should we make it through the tough part of the schedule for this year, a curious optimism will settle over societies around the world. Collective angst is often followed by relief and a rethinking of priorities along with a new vision. It doesn't mean everything suddenly gets better, but our approach to the challenges will change, dramatically. You can look for that toward the end of the year with the caveat that there is going to be a major test of resolve before we get there.
Chet W. Sisk is an author and one of the world's leading Social Futurists. He is also expert on the current world paradigm shift. Find out more about him and the LEAD Global Team at www.leadtheshift.com or you can write him directly at firstname.lastname@example.org